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What we learn running outbound, partner and RevOps programs, written for founders and sales leads. Numbers are illustrations unless we say where they come from.

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The outbound math for a $40,000 deal

Oct 2026 · 8 min · Nora Kessler

Before you buy any outbound program, including ours, run your own numbers through this. One quarter of one program, at rates we would call ordinary rather than good.

The program in the example costs about $31,500 for the first 90 days. Two deals at $40,000 pay for it in year one. One deal does not. That is the conversation to have before the first email goes out.

StageCountAssumption
Accounts on the list1,500Built from three buying triggers and verified
Reached with a sequence1,20080% of the list after bounces and opt-outs
Replies726% reply rate, a fair middle for B2B software
Positive replies2230% of replies
Meetings held1780% of positive replies show up
Qualified opportunities9About half of meetings
Deals won2A 22% win rate on qualified deals
New annual revenue$80,000At a $40,000 average deal

More notes

What a $2,000 budget buys, honestlyOct 2026 · 5 minA month of a freelance SDR at 10 hours a week, or a list and two sequences you send yourself. Both can work. Neither is a program.Read the summary

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A forecast fails when a stage means different things to different reps. Define each stage by something the buyer did (a second meeting, a security review started, a proposal opened by two people) and the forecast tightens within a quarter.

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We record six customer interviews at the start of every engagement. These are the questions, in order, and what each answer changes in the copy, the list and the sequences.

Referrals are a channel until they are notJul 2026 · 5 minMost agencies and consultancies live on referrals. The month they dry up, there is nothing in the pipe. A plan for the month before that.Read the summary

Referrals are the best leads you will ever get and the least predictable. A second channel does not replace them; it smooths the months between them. We show how a small outbound program fills the gaps without competing with your network.

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Concept build for a fictional brand. Names, prices and numbers are illustrations. Built by Jefi Studio.